How to Know a Good Soccer Tipster When You See One 

Posted on by SoccerPunter

In the world of modern sports betting, many people think they have an edge. Finding a great tipster is one way people can try to get their own advantage over the sportsbooks, by following the bets of someone else with more skill and knowledge or who has built an effective system. However, with this competitive market there are a lot of choices – and not all of them can be the best. So how do you pick a good one? 

This article will look at the key concepts behind finding a good soccer tipster. It starts with an understanding of a what a good tipster actually is, to weed out the people who overpromise. From there it will look at what info you want a tipster to provide to help you make an assessment, and why not having that info is a killer mistake. Lastly, it will look at average prices and standard strategic bankroll advice to see where your choices stack up against the rest of the market. 

What a Soccer Tipster Can Actually Do – A Realistic Offer 

A great tipster will be somewhat of a data analyst, as well as being well-versed in the sport of the soccer. The mathematics of betting are even more important in soccer, as it is a low scoring and relatively unpredictable sport compared to many other popular global games – especially American sports like football or basketball. 

In some ways, finding a great soccer tipster is like looking for a high reputation crypto sportsbook. You want to find an operation that does the basics, without promising the world and being unable to deliver. Fast transactions, various markets, and rewards like odds boosts and other promotions are also often good for getting even more value out of tipsters’ picks. 

Good tipsters won’t just take a match and predict a winner for every bet. A top tipster gives soccer bets that provide value against the odds the bookies have set. This means, they will lose sometimes. And the tipster will understand that – but the point of the math behind their bet should be that, over a long period of finding similar bets, more of them will win. If a particular bet has value, the one-off result doesn’t matter because the process was good and a majority of those bets would win in the long term.

Any tipster promising unbreakable strategies that win 100% of the time is absolutely not worth listening to. A legit tipster knows that long-term edge through value bets is the game, and that not every individual bet will come off. 

Imagine playing poker and you get aces. Any poker coach would tell you that you’re likely to be getting all your chips in – as its the best hand in the game with around a 65% chance to win before any other cards. But if you lose, would that mean you never go all in on aces again? No. Because over the long run, its a winning bet. It’s the same with tipsters. If you (they) nail the math, it is possible to find long-term winning bets in sports. 

Transparency is Key and Non-Negotiable 

To that end, a great tipster will let you see lots of long-term data from their past bets. Screenshots of winners is not enough. You need to see their losses too, because their will be some. If someone developed a truly infallible sports betting strategy, you can bet your last dollar they wouldn’t be giving it away because they’d have made millions themselves already. 

Successful tipsters can be making good money from soccer betting. But its a risk, and they know it. Even the very best tipsters can have losing weeks or even months. Therefore, hedging their income through selling tips helps offset some of that risk. 

Beware of any tipster that has many of the following traits:

  • Only posting winners
  • Huge promises of 90% win rate or more with no evidence
  • No pick win rate history to analyse yourself
  • Using promotional language relentlessly such as “guaranteed” or “must-win pick”

A great tipster will use expert terms like “variance”, “long-term edge” and “value bet” over hype and marketing terminology. They will also provide days, weeks or even months or years of data, for you to browse to prove their edge is real.

Consistency and Bankroll Management is Also Vital 

Lastly, you want a tipster that has a clear framework for posting and betting advice. A tipster who promises a bet a day but only posts once a week, for example, is probably not reliable. As will be tipsters who move between different sports or leagues. If you sign up for MLS soccer tips and the tipster randomly gives you NFL, NHL or German football second-tier tips – consider if they’re the right option for you. 

On the other hand, a tipster that consistently picks lower-tier soccer leagues in Europe, for example, could be more likely to have an edge or advanced knowledge than one that only picks high-interest match-ups involving big teams.

Tipsters should also not be giving bankroll advice, unless through one-on-one consultation. The tipster identifies value bets, and it is up to you to decide what you bet. Tipsters don’t know about your personal bankroll circumstances, so bet sizing should be talked about in “units” if discussed at all. 

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