Numbers don't lie but all this number crunching blinds man from the luck factor that decides alot of games. Maybe a team won because they were meant to win? How many times have u heard a player/coach use the word "fortunate" that goal was scored/missed. Why does a player(nba)shoot 90% all game but in the last minute he cant make the winning/tying shot in many attempts? Thats one factor those overrated math models cannot predict. The best teams win it all because they are destined to do so.
Have you ever played on covers.com? They have other sports you can pick vs the spread for prizes. I saw your message from a month ago and thought I would reply. There is no sports to pick right now due to the Coronavirus tho.