submitted 5 days ago by
SanityCompass
Mexico vs England
Pick: Mexico or a Draw
Can Harry Kane and co make this one count? I doubt!
I love the value here with Mexico. This match is being played in Mexico City, giving the home team a massive advantage. They had an extra day of rest and will not need to travel, and will have their fans all over cheering them on.
On the other hand, England was very lucky to escape DR Congo on Wednesday. Had Congo played a little smarter in the final 20 minutes, England would have been back home by now. So you won't be wrong to say that it was a gruesome match for the Brits, who now have to travel and have one fewer day to recover. They will also be playing at altitude, further testing their fitness.
Meanwhile, Mexico looked awesome in all four matches so far. They are undefeated in 12 matches, with 10 outright wins, and have only conceded twice during that stretch, boasting a 23-2 aggregate.
England is 11-2-2 in its last 15 matches, with only one impressive win against Croatia. They’ve beaten a bunch of bad teams but didn’t look good against Ghana, Panama or Congo in their last three. I fancy Mexico to advance, but will pick them to win or draw as I don’t see England winning this one in regulation time. A 1-1 draw should be the most likely outcome.