Macca
07-13-2017, 08:32 AM
Match Links: Predict (https://www.soccerpunter.com/competition/Brazil/Serie-A/bet_match_2419091_CA_Paranaense_vs_Cruzeiro_EC_201 7-07-13) H2H (https://www.soccerpunter.com/soccer-statistics/Brazil/Serie-A-2017/head_to_head_statistics/all/315_CA_Paranaense/304_Cruzeiro_EC) Odds (https://www.soccerpunter.com/soccer-statistics/Brazil/Serie-A-2017/livesoccerodds?match_id=2419091&home=CA+Paranaense&away=Cruzeiro+EC&date=2017-07-13+00%3A45%3A00)
Atletico PR are a formidable force at home and Cruzeiro only win 1/3 of their away matches compared to Atletico PR's home wins. H2H is a slightly different story as 4 of the last 9 matches of this same fixture have ended in a draw.
Probabilities and fair odds:
1=48.67% (2.05)
x=29.22% (3.42)
2=22.11% (4.52)
You can see there is fair value in the odds for the home team (21.7%) but there is also a looming risk of a draw with the H2H history. Looking at the DNB market the home team is trading at 1.73 where I calculate fair odds at 1.49 (probability of 67.21%). This carries value of 16.3% and will be my safe pick for this match.
Good luck.
Atletico PR are a formidable force at home and Cruzeiro only win 1/3 of their away matches compared to Atletico PR's home wins. H2H is a slightly different story as 4 of the last 9 matches of this same fixture have ended in a draw.
Probabilities and fair odds:
1=48.67% (2.05)
x=29.22% (3.42)
2=22.11% (4.52)
You can see there is fair value in the odds for the home team (21.7%) but there is also a looming risk of a draw with the H2H history. Looking at the DNB market the home team is trading at 1.73 where I calculate fair odds at 1.49 (probability of 67.21%). This carries value of 16.3% and will be my safe pick for this match.
Good luck.