Macca
07-12-2017, 01:42 PM
Match Links: Predict (https://www.soccerpunter.com/competition/Brazil/Serie-A/bet_match_2419090_CA_Mineiro_vs_Santos_FC_Sao_Paul o_2017-07-12) H2H (https://www.soccerpunter.com/soccer-statistics/Brazil/Serie-A-2017/head_to_head_statistics/all/317_CA_Mineiro/319_Santos_FC_Sao_Paulo) Odds (https://www.soccerpunter.com/soccer-statistics/Brazil/Serie-A-2017/livesoccerodds?match_id=2419090&home=CA+Mineiro&away=Santos+FC+Sao+Paulo&date=2017-07-12+22%3A30%3A00)
The home favourite actually has a little bit of value in the odds. Mineiro is strong at home within the league as well as winning 6 of the last 10 games of the same fixture.
1x2 Probabilities:
1=57% - odds of 1.75
x=24% - odds of 4.17
2=19% - odds of 5.26
You can see there is value of 2.6% for the home team (current odds are 1.80).
Another market of value is over 2.5 goals. Mineiro's games at home historically average over 2.5 goals more than 50% of the time, but 7 of the last 10 games of this fixture have been over 2.5 goals. This translates to a probability of 62% (odds of 1.61). This market is currently trading at odds of 2 which produces a value of 24%.
Personally I'll be sticking with the home team at full time, just pointing out any present value.
Good luck all.
The home favourite actually has a little bit of value in the odds. Mineiro is strong at home within the league as well as winning 6 of the last 10 games of the same fixture.
1x2 Probabilities:
1=57% - odds of 1.75
x=24% - odds of 4.17
2=19% - odds of 5.26
You can see there is value of 2.6% for the home team (current odds are 1.80).
Another market of value is over 2.5 goals. Mineiro's games at home historically average over 2.5 goals more than 50% of the time, but 7 of the last 10 games of this fixture have been over 2.5 goals. This translates to a probability of 62% (odds of 1.61). This market is currently trading at odds of 2 which produces a value of 24%.
Personally I'll be sticking with the home team at full time, just pointing out any present value.
Good luck all.